발표 논문
| 이달의 논문 2025년 8월 | ||
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| 등록일 : 2025.12.02 | ||
Predicting complications in breast reconstruction: External validation of a machine learning modelAffiliations
AbstractBackground: Nipple-sparing mastectomy (NSM) with immediate implant-based breast reconstruction provides aesthetic and psychosocial benefits, but nipple-areolar complex (NAC) necrosis remains a significant risk. This study externally validated a previously developed machine learning (ML) model that predicted NAC necrosis with 97% accuracy on institutional data. Methods: This retrospective cohort study identified an initial 394 patients who underwent NSM with immediate breast reconstruction at Asan Medical Center (January 2021 - August 2022). Though there were 6 incomplete patient profiles, which resulted in 388 cases being used for statistical analysis, as demonstrated in Table 1. Demographic, oncologic, and surgical data were collected, with complications defined as post-operative events occurring within 90 days. A previously validated random forest ML model was applied to predict NAC necrosis. Model performance was assessed using accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values. Results: Of 388 patients, 19 (4.9%) developed NAC necrosis. Significant risk factors included older age (mean age: 51.3 vs. 46.2 years, p = 0.015), higher BMI (mean BMI: 24.2 vs. 22.4, p = 0.024), active smoking (p = 0.008), and cumulative smoking exposure (mean pack-years: 3.3 vs. 0.2, p < 0.0001). Mastectomy specimen weight was significantly associated with NAC necrosis (mean: 394.2 g vs. 313.4 g, p = 0.021). The ML model achieved a predictive accuracy of 96%, with an AUC-ROC of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.55-0.85), indicating moderate discriminative ability. Conclusions: The externally validated ML model accurately predicted NAC necrosis in a distinct patient population, demonstrating its potential for personalized risk assessment in NSM candidates. Future validation in diverse populations is needed.
Comparative Study
Histologic Comparison of Ultrafine Diced Cartilage and Conventionally Diced Cartilage Wrapped in Fascia in a Rabbit ModelAffiliations
AbstractBackground: Ultrafine dicing, which reduces cartilage particles to less than 0.2 mm, has gained attention for producing dense implants with reduced distortion. However, concerns about long-term viability and cell damage because of extensive manipulation remain. The authors aimed to compare the histologic outcomes of ultrafine and conventionally diced cartilage wrapped in fascia in a rabbit model, providing insight into their potential use in rhinoplasty. Methods: Ten New Zealand White rabbits were divided into 2 groups. Cartilage was harvested from both ears, with 1 graft diced into 1- to 2-mm pieces and the other into pieces smaller than 0.2 mm. Both types were wrapped in fascia and implanted subcutaneously. Histologic analyses, using hematoxylin and eosin, Masson trichrome, and safranin-O staining, were performed at 8 weeks and 6 months postoperatively. The percentages of cartilage cells and dead space were compared between groups. Results: There was significantly higher cartilage cell density in the ultrafine diced group at both 8 weeks and 6 months than in the conventionally diced group. The ultrafine diced cartilage also exhibited less dead space and maintained a dense composition of type II collagen, suggesting a resilient and natural implant material. Conclusions: Ultrafine dicing resulted in superior histologic outcomes, with higher cartilage cell density and less fibrosis compared with conventional methods. These findings suggest that ultrafine diced cartilage may be an effective method for achieving natural and stable results in rhinoplasty. Further research involving human participants is needed to confirm these results. Clinical relevance statement: Ultrafine dicing of cartilage provides superior histological outcomes, with higher cell density and less fibrosis compared with conventional methods. This technique may offer plastic surgeons a more effective option for achieving stable, natural results in rhinoplasty, pending further human studies. |
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